Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Local Government Employment Growth
Across South Dakota Counties
Local Government
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Local Government
Employment Growth
South Dakota:
2010-2022 = 0.59%
2022 = 2.08%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of local government employment growth across all of South Dakota's 66 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this South Dakota Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the local government employment growth of South Dakota's 66 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Local Government
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Local Government
Employment Growth
South Dakota:
2010-2022 = 0.59%
2022 = 2.08%
This figure displays the 66 counties of South Dakota as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual local government employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the local government employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term local government employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.59%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.59% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.59%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 17 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 32 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 24 counties whose most recent (2022) local government employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.08%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 25 counties whose local government employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 66 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.59% over 2010-2022 and 2.08% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual local government employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.59%) and near-term (2.08%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.59%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the South Dakota average (2.08%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.59%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.08%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual local government employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.59%) and near-term (2.08%).
   
 
Summary of South Dakota's 66 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.08%)
Above
(2.08%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.59%)
5
12
17
Below
(0.59%)
20
12
32
 
25
24
49
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
South Dakota:
2010-2022 = 0.59%
2022 = 2.08%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the South Dakota counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed South Dakota's average annual local government employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.59%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.08%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of South Dakota's 66 counties, 12 (18%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
South Dakota:
2010-2022 = 0.59%
2022 = 2.08%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 5 South Dakota counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual local government employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.59%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 2.08%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 5 (8%) of South Dakota's 66 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
South Dakota:
2010-2022 = 0.59%
2022 = 2.08%
This figure shows the distribution of the 12 South Dakota counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual local government employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.59%), while they outpaced South Dakota's average near-term (2022 = 2.08%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of South Dakota's 66 counties, 18% (12) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
South Dakota:
2010-2022 = 0.59%
2022 = 2.08%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 20 South Dakota counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual local government employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.59%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.08%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
30% of South Dakota's counties, 20 of 66, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
South Dakota
Local Government Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
2
1.57
 
4
7.17
927
 
6
1.46
 
1
14.19
338
 
13
0.73
 
22
2.51
245
 
8
1.02
 
5
6.86
374
 
5
1.48
 
3
10.71
93
 
11
0.76
 
20
2.85
325
 
1
4.22
 
25
2.11
1,891
 
7
1.28
 
13
3.86
350
 
3
1.56
 
14
3.79
8,292
 
9
0.81
 
6
6.76
158
 
15
0.72
 
15
3.66
170
 
4
1.49
 
7
5.53
820
Slipping Counties
 
17
0.59
 
29
1.71
1,665
 
10
0.78
 
37
0.81
1,859
 
12
0.74
 
49
-2.22
1,190
 
16
0.61
 
34
0.97
208
 
14
0.73
 
28
1.75
349
Gaining Counties
 
31
-0.08
 
16
3.63
371
 
26
0.32
 
18
3.28
315
 
34
-0.17
 
17
3.48
1,011
 
37
-0.38
 
11
4.23
320
 
29
0.04
 
21
2.64
1,087
 
36
-0.30
 
19
3.21
225
 
27
0.22
 
24
2.33
396
 
20
0.47
 
2
13.04
104
 
24
0.40
 
12
3.96
944
 
47
-1.61
 
9
4.78
241
 
35
-0.23
 
23
2.44
1,385
 
21
0.44
 
8
5.11
926
Lagging Counties
 
43
-0.85
 
52
-4.97
153
 
40
-0.74
 
46
-0.97
306
 
39
-0.51
 
43
-0.39
509
 
49
-2.15
 
51
-4.41
434
 
44
-0.92
 
45
-0.93
318
 
46
-1.39
 
27
1.84
221
 
19
0.49
 
30
1.65
493
 
23
0.41
 
42
-0.26
769
 
30
-0.02
 
39
0.00
430
 
42
-0.85
 
50
-2.33
210
 
45
-0.93
 
47
-1.06
560
 
38
-0.40
 
44
-0.52
191
 
18
0.56
 
35
0.90
670
 
25
0.32
 
36
0.87
4,871
 
41
-0.81
 
38
0.48
211
 
22
0.43
 
26
1.88
1,353
 
48
-1.98
 
31
1.53
133
 
28
0.10
 
41
-0.14
2,079
 
33
-0.16
 
33
1.00
405
 
32
-0.12
 
39
0.00
316
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
48
-1.60
184
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
32
1.03
591
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
10
4.46
2,925
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.59
 
2.08
49,541
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.11
 
1.96
14,130,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_520320_LSGL
 
   
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