Perkins County vs. South Dakota Comparative Trends Analysis: Population Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Perkins County: 2022 Population = 2,804 2022 Percent of State = 0.31% South Dakota: 2022 Population = 909,824 2022 Percent of U.S. = 0.27% Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy. The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Perkins County with comparisons to South Dakota and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Perkins County vs. South Dakota's population growth over 1969-2022. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. Population, 1969-2022 Figure 1. Figure 1 traces Perkins County's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Perkins County's population dropped from 4,701 in 1969 to 2,804 in 2022, for a net loss of -1,897, or -40.35%. NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population, 1969-2022 Figure 2. Figure 2 traces South Dakota's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, South Dakota's population rose from 668,000 in 1969 to 909,824 in 2022, for a net gain of 241,824, or 36.20%. NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022 Figure 3. Figure 3 shows Perkins County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with South Dakota, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Perkins County's overall population growth was -40.35% over 1969-2022 trailed South Dakota's increase of 36.20%, and fell below the United States' increase of 65.57%. Population as a Percent of the South Dakota Total: 1969-2022 Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the population growth of Perkins County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to South Dakota's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than South Dakota's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Perkins County's population totaled 0.70% of South Dakota's population, while in 2022 it totaled 0.31% thereby yielding a -0.40% share-shift.
Perkins County Population: Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022 Figure 5. Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Perkins County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Perkins County's population contracted at an annual rate of -0.95% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1981 (2.79%) and posted its lowest growth in 1982 (-8.16%). In 2022, Perkins County's population declined by -0.67% Perkins County Population: Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022 Figure 6. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again illustrates the annual percent change in Perkins County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Perkins County's annual population growth rate averaged 0.06%. It averaged -1.43% during the 1980s, -1.70% throughout the 1990s, -1.51% throughout the 2000s, -0.39% throughout the 2010s, -0.28% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Population Growth: Average Annual Percent Change by Decade Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Perkins County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for South Dakota and the nation. As the chart reveals, Perkins County's average annual population growth trailed South Dakota's average throughout the 1970s (0.06% vs. 0.31%), fell below South Dakota's average throughout the 1980s (-1.43% vs. 0.11%), lagged South Dakota's average in the 1990s (-1.70% vs. 0.75%), posted below South Dakota's average throughout the 2000s (-1.51% vs. 0.73%), posted below South Dakota's average during the 2010s (-0.39% vs. 0.90%), and fell below South Dakota's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (-0.28% vs. 1.02%). Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Perkins County posted below the nation in the 1970s (0.06% vs. 1.10%), trailed the nation throughout the 1980s (-1.43% vs. 0.95%), trailed the nation throughout the 1990s (-1.70% vs. 1.23%), fell under the nation over the 2000s (-1.51% vs. 0.95%), trailed the nation in the 2010s (-0.39% vs. 0.74%), and trailed the nation over 2020-2022 (-0.28% vs. 0.31%).
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